Cox Regression, Briefly: A Clinician’s Guide
ClinicoPath Development Team
2025-10-09
Source:vignettes/18-cox-brief-for-clinicians.Rmd
18-cox-brief-for-clinicians.Rmd
What is Cox Regression?
- Purpose: Compare risk between groups while adjusting for multiple factors (age, stage, etc.).
- Output: Hazard Ratio (HR). HR < 1 means lower risk; HR > 1 means higher risk.
When to Use
- You need an adjusted comparison (beyond KM/log‑rank).
- You have multiple prognostic variables to consider.
- Time-to-event outcome (survival, progression, recurrence).
How to Read Results
- HR and 95% CI: Magnitude and uncertainty of effect.
- p‑value: Evidence against “no effect”, but prioritize effect size and CI.
- Example: HR = 0.72 (95% CI 0.55–0.95, p = 0.02) → 28% lower hazard after adjustment.
Key Assumption: Proportional Hazards (PH)
- Meaning: The HR between groups is roughly constant over time.
- Check: Schoenfeld residual plots/tests in jSurvival (Cox Diagnostics).
- If violated: Consider stratification, time‑varying effects, or RMST.
Practical Tips
- Coding: Ensure event = 1 and time > 0 with consistent units (months/days).
- Collinearity: Avoid highly correlated predictors; use VIF checks.
- Sample size: Aim for ≥10 events per covariate for stable estimates.
Reporting Checklist
- Outcome and time unit (e.g., OS in months); event definition.
- HR, 95% CI, and p‑value for main effect(s).
- Variables adjusted for (age, grade, stage, etc.).
- PH assessment result (e.g., global test p‑value; any violations noted).
- Clinical interpretation (effect size relevance, context, safety).